Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 24.808545 28.692385 32.913265 37.831850 43.396291 49.486210 56.645667
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 17.651646 22.830021 29.021618 36.925423 46.697236 58.329373 73.166050
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.771866 19.476418 26.831182 36.906818 50.232861 67.121724 89.990848
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.288590 17.218836 25.363287 37.190540 53.714849 75.735577 106.998744
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.786164 14.389946 22.552901 35.059932 53.425504 79.027161 116.932796
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.733548 13.452801 22.206563 36.229410 57.679350 88.694585 136.194244
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.048965 12.946662 22.382294 38.105584 63.034202 100.244512 158.919188
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.937694 11.541754 20.928490 37.216294 63.998055 105.277445 172.297924
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.883676 10.049160 19.106161 35.462419 63.332430 107.646911 181.649142
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.642517 9.988674 19.702034 37.792723 69.470282 121.044068 209.019666
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.578712 10.249897 20.883097 41.230110 77.716075 138.348837 243.692786
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.146549 9.711602 20.524495 41.855053 81.135364 147.916789 266.323503
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.589377 8.861371 19.536517 41.344911 82.741376 154.961839 285.976731
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.034705 7.923195 18.262104 40.170017 83.083422 159.968252 302.752434
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.665715 7.331510 17.603850 40.111127 85.475005 168.723410 326.610663
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.377200 6.872502 17.155323 40.408866 88.548353 178.888115 353.599429
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.942401 5.958005 15.566665 38.112396 86.257177 178.963878 362.304773
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.802644 5.781371 15.627682 39.371869 91.247342 193.038735 397.650699
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.720595 5.745967 16.014708 41.392170 97.975893 210.877789 441.111792
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.484656 5.224207 15.143074 40.434623 98.300951 216.223395 461.082946
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.237851 4.610822 13.942000 38.545618 96.404576 216.972035 472.135395
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.213833 4.684072 14.536986 41.055303 104.468994 238.411918 525.162590
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.235844 4.911060 15.572342 44.755081 115.503182 266.598303 593.114313